For most people, putting obstacles in horse racing and finding winners seems like a mystery. They understand the basics of handicapping and they can read the show and yet when the race is over they still don’t understand how some people picked the winner. It seems to be more a matter of luck than anything else. So many people give up on the handicap and just start playing the lucky numbers or, worse, give up on horse racing and buy lottery tickets or a roll of quarters. pennies for slot machines.
It is not that difficult to find out if a horse is a good bet and that is the key to making a profit. That’s the whole game in a nutshell: find a good bet. It’s not about always knowing which horse will win because, frankly, no one knows or can say for sure. There are no lead pipe straps in horse racing.
If you want to make a profit, you’re going to 메이저사이트 have to work very hard, and like I said before, there are no lead pipe straps, so nothing is guaranteed. You can still lose even if you do everything right. This is life. On the other hand, your chances of making money betting on horse racing are better if you understand these fundamental numbers and how to apply them.
First of all, while you’re looking for a winner, let me ask you this: “What does a winner look like?” That is not a trick question. I know it had a head, a tail, and a leg in each corner, but how does it look on paper?
If you save your old race programs, and I hope you do, then you should be able to go through them and see which horses won and what they had in common for each distance, type of race and surface they ran on. For example, how many were in the top three for speed in the last race in a 6 furlongs sprint for older horses? If you don’t know, how can you handicap a race and use the speed figures effectively?
If you know that and all the other statistics that go along with racing, then you can tell what the chances are that a particular horse will win. I call it the probability number, but you can call it whatever you want. Once you have some probability numbers for the horses in a race, you can figure out how likely each one is to win. Therefore, you will know what a winner should look like. The more probability, the more likely to win. The more horses there are in the race, the harder it will be to win. So a short field and a high probability number should equate to a low priced favourite, but if you know the probability, you can compare the chances of winning with current odds.
For example, imagine a horse has a one in three chance of winning a race based on speed, class, recent form, and jockey. The horse is at 2-1. Is it a good bet? You’ll pay $3 for every dollar wagered, but these horses only win once in three races, so you’ll get $3 back for every $3 you wager. In other words, it’s a breakeven bet and no one got rich off of it. In fact, in the long run, you won’t even earn enough to buy a hot dog.
That simple equation, probability compared to odds, is how you know if a horse is a good bet. It’s devilishly simple, although knowing the probability numbers requires research and that means getting that data from old programs or online result files. That’s where practice comes into play.